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WEAKENING ALARM : INDIA'S GDP SLIPPED TO 4.5% IN Q2FY 20

Ravi Kagada

Research Analyst

Advisorymandi.com

02-Dec-2019 16:17

9640 0 2836

India at the present watching at the tangible prospect of a sub-6 % annual GDP growth in 2019-20, the first since 2012, within a stumbling world economy and tumbling opinions at home. GDP of the country grew 4.5% in July-September 2019, the deepest ever since the last quarter of 2012-13, settling worries of a extending slowdown in the economy as families aren't spending adequate to maintain demand and companies aren't totaling capabilities or contracting more.

GDP minus taxes and is perceived as a more faithful measure Gross Value Added to calculate economic movement, developed 4.3% in July-September 2019, related to 4.9% in the preceding quarter and 6.9% in the second quarter of the last year. The data reflected the markets about the economy's reduced condition coming out from car outlets, retail shopping mall and the promptness of drive in agriculture. The slowdown move toward 5% GDP growth logged in April-June and 7.1% in July-September previous year.

The agriculture segment raised 2.1% in the second quarter of 2019-20, dazzling the very dawn appearance of heavy shower this fiscal, distressing seeding in the summertime kharif harvest, India's key crop.

The manufacturing sector, which is total 75% of the country’s factory output, of the nation's factory production, contracted 1% in July-September 2019, approximately resounding that individuals are setting off buying on ambitious matters such as cars and televisions.

As per Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers statistics, passenger vehicle sales weakened 23.7% throughout July-September. Private last consumption expenditure, a substitution to measure domestic expenditure, raised 5.06% (at constant) prices in July-September 2019 in compare to 9.8% in the similar quarter last year.

Slowdown was observable crossways further sectors as well. Construction sector GVA raised 3.3% in July-September 2019 related to 5.7% in the prior quarter and 6.8% in the following quarter of the preceding financial year.

Likewise, GVA in real estate all through the quarter rose 5.8% related to 7% in the earlier quarter and 6.3% in July-September 2018.

There has been burden structure up on the government to plot a rapid enhancement through appropriate policy interventions, regardless of a thread of actions in the recent months.

Government Final Consumption Expenditure (GFCE) at Current Prices is projected at 6.92 lakh crore in Q2 of 2019-20 as against 5.82 lakh crore in Q2 of 2018-19. At Continual (2011-12) Prices, the GFCE is estimated at 4.73 lakh crore in Q2 of 2019-20 as beside 4.09 lakh crore in Q2 of 2018-19. In terms of GDP, the rates of GFCE at Current and Constant (2011- 2012) Prices throughout Q2 of 2019-20 are projected at 13.9% and 13.1%, correspondingly, Beside it the parallel rate of 12.4% and 11.9% correspondingly in Q2 of 2018-19. Growth rates of GFCE at Current and Continuous Prices are projected at 18.9% and 15.6% separately during Q2 of 2019-20 as associated to 15.4% and 10.9% respectively for the duration of Q2 of 2018-19.

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman pronounced major alterations in corporate income tax rates on September 20, 2019, in a renewed usual of dealings to recover growth in the wider economy. Govt. of India decreased the corporate income tax rate from 30% to 22% for all companies. The government has slashed the corporate income tax rate from 30% to 22% for all companies. Comprehensive of cess and surcharges the current corporate tax rate in India currently comes downcast to corporate tax to 25.17%. Newer companies, which are established post October 1, 2019, will be exposed to an even lesser effective tax rate of 17%.

There were precise actions to encourage demand, comprising change of its spending program by front loading it, make a speech supply-side blockages and simplification bank credit guidelines, even as she sworn to finish tax extremism which kept companies nervous.

 

Source: http://www.mospi.gov.in/sites/default/files/press_release/PRESS_NOTE-Q2_2019-20_revised.pdf

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